They say that fashions change in cycles and that if we wait long enough, those bell-bottomed jeans we loved in the 1970s will come back into fashion again, and it seems this is just as true in the ‘bread and circuses’ world of electoral politics as anywhere else.

For some years now the public have become progressively less and less interested in politics, finding the three main establishment parties virtually indistinguishable in terms of the policies advocated and pursued. This tendency has until very recently seen voter turnouts at election times dropping to historic lows and political party membership declining dramatically also.

There was following Tony Blair’s leadership of the Labour Party a period of ‘modernisation’ resulting in the creation of ‘New Labour’, described by some as ‘Blue Labour’, in which overtly socialist policies were progressively dropped from the Labour manifesto as the party moved towards the so-called political ‘centre’, adopting a more liberal, social democratic position.

Similarly, we saw in the aftermath of Margaret Thatcher’s premiership and in the aftermath her leadership of the Conservative Party, moves towards the liberalisation of the party. Many of us will remember when at the 2002 Conservative Party Conference, Theresa May, the Chairperson of the party at that time, called for change declaring that the party had come to be regarded among certain sections of the public as the “Nasty party”. This move towards the ‘political centre’, mirroring developments within the Labour Party, culminated in the election of David Cameron as Conservative Party leader.

David Cameron described himself as a ‘liberal conservative’ and as he steered the Conservative Party into the ‘centre ground’, the three main establishment parties, the ‘LibLabCon’ did indeed become indistinguishable in the eyes of the majority of the public. Each party merely representing a slightly different, some would say merely cosmetically different variant of the same brand of liberalism.

This migration towards centrist liberalism was of course orchestrated by the major political power brokers both nationally and internationally, in order to deny our people any real choice in the running of our country. Whichever way the British public voted where the establishment parties were concerned, the same policies were pursued by whichever party won power.

The result of this has been the widespread public disillusionment with the political process that has been evident in recent times and the growth in numbers of people, who if they are not prepared to actively campaign politically in any formal sense, are at least prepared to add their sceptical and cynical comments beneath news website articles. There has also been an explosion in recent years in the number of blogs presenting a sceptical and cynical view of current affairs and expressing the view that the political life of our country is utterly corrupt.

Public disillusionment with politics and with political party membership reached a low point during the spring and summer of 2015. During the General Election that year, the Conservatives were returned with an overall majority in the House of Commons, but it was a paltry majority – the Conservatives had just 50.8% of the MPs in parliament. Worse still, the Conservatives share of the vote – 36.8% — on a mere 66.4% turnout at the election, meant that they were elected to power by just 24.4% of the electorate. In other words, the government had the support of less than one in four of the public eligible to vote!

This was an increasingly dangerous situation for the establishment to allow to continue. Their policy of creating a two party, ‘Tweedle-Dee and Tweedle-Dum’ political system had resulted in such disillusionment and disaffection among the public there was the danger that true revolutionary potential might develop, in which a chance future event might spark a popular backlash against them with a maverick, anti-establishment political party being swept to power at some point.

My belief is that following the 2015 election, a decision was taken among the political elite to bring about a perceived polarisation of British politics, in which the Labour Party would be seen to return to its socialist roots and the Conservative Party would be seen to move decisively to the right to once more assume a more Thatcherite position. Such movements might be expected to be very popular with a public sick of the vacuous pap and obvious double-speak that has become the standard fare of politics in this country. In reality such movements would merely be cosmetic in effect – reinvigorating the electoral circus, making people believe that establishment politics are once again meaningful, but without any really fundamental shift in the direction of our nation. This would be a process of ‘resetting’ the political landscape, of returning to a previous ‘setting’ in the same way that we use ‘system restore’ on a troublesome computer.

The first signs of this process were: the course of the Labour Party leadership elections in which a rank outsider in the form of Jeremy Corbyn was seen coming from nowhere to beat all of the front runners; and the decision by David Cameron that he would indeed hold a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union.

Jeremy Corbyn had been regarded as a maverick back-bench MP and his surprise election to the Labour leadership has been followed by much bally-hoo; with the Labour parliamentary party refusing to support him; with a prominent Jewish party donor rudely confronting Corbyn at a Labour Friends of Israel meeting; and with other Jewish community leaders and spokespeople raising the laughable ‘spectre’ of rising anti-Semitism within the Labour movement — all of which appears rather contrived and just the stuff needed to make sure that every gullible member of the public is convinced that some fundamental shift has actually taken place.

It has been interesting to note however that as a life-long opponent of Britain’s EU membership, Jeremy Corbyn decided to campaign for Britain to remain within the EU when the referendum finally came. It seems he was not such a maverick when his actions really counted and like a good little boy, he conveniently and somewhat inexplicably fell into line with the overwhelmingly pro-EU stance of our political establishment.

It has been interesting also to watch as men and women who had barely a critical word to say about the European Union throughout their political careers, suddenly declared their opposition to our continued membership and thrust themselves forward to lead the pro-Brexit groups — exactly as had happened forty-years earlier during the first EU referendum in 1975.

The illusion was created that within the leadership elite of the Conservative Party, a wide variance of opinion existed regarding our EU membership and that some of these people were real ‘right-wingers’. How sincere the likes of Boris Johnson and Michael Gove were in their enthusiasm for Brexit is anyone’s guess, but there have been rumours that some players during the referendum were enlisted with the intention of merely making the referendum a closely run contest, but one that would ultimately end in victory for Remain.

Apparently, and according to such rumours, our political elite rather misjudged the public mood and as is now history, the enthusiasm injected into the Brexit campaign by those leading it, compounded the simmering desire among the public to register a protest vote, and resulted in a significantly higher vote to leave than had either been intended or ever expected.

The result of the referendum on EU membership was a shock to our political establishment and was confirmation if confirmation was needed that they were right to have initiated the process of ‘resetting’ the political landscape. The vote for Brexit has been a damaging blow to our establishment, but events could have been a lot worse for them and they counted themselves lucky that the public act of rebellion had not taken a more serious form.

The vote for Brexit made Cameron’s position as Prime Minister untenable and has resulted in a change of leadership of the Conservative Party and this has conveniently played into the hands of those wanting to create the illusion of re-polarised politics. An opportunity has been created for Theresa May to play the role of ‘Queen Maggie 2nd’ and she appears to be relishing the role. She has indicated that Brexit will indeed mean Brexit, and she may yet be as good as her word in that respect and take Britain out of the Common Market, but we shall have to wait and see. As one of my old bosses used to say, “There’s many a slip twixt cup and lip”, and as the complex and no doubt difficult Brexit negotiations unfold, there will be many opportunities, for those secretly wishing it, to fudge the issue and to delay the completion of those negotiations until the pretext for a second referendum can be established.

Theresa May in her maiden conference speech as Conservative Party leader pledged to be more attuned to public opinion, and having for many years been a willing liberal-conservative, eager to shed the Thatcherite ‘nasty party’ reputation, and having been an enthusiastic acolyte of David Cameron, she has now pulled the mantle of Margaret Thatcher closely around her.

Just as Margaret Thatcher had robbed the National Front of support in the run up to the 1979 General Election, by expressing sympathy with public concerns about being ‘swamped’ by immigration, so too Theresa May is attempting to undermine support for UKIP by professing similar empathy with the public mood.

In her maiden conference speech as leader, May stated, “I know a lot of people don’t like to admit this, [for] someone who finds themselves out of work or on lower wages because of low-skilled immigration life simply doesn’t seem fair. It feels like your dreams have been sacrificed in the service of others, so change has got to come … [many politicians] find your patriotism, distasteful; your concerns about immigration, parochial; your views about crime, illiberal; your attachment to your job security, inconvenient. They find the fact that more than seventeen million voters decided to leave the European Union, simply bewildering, because if you’re well off and comfortable, Britain is a different country and these concerns are not your concerns”.

Our political elite have as I have stated, introduced a duel track process in which the Labour Party and the Conservative Party are seen to be ‘returning to their roots’. This move has as I have explained been initiated in order to combat the widespread public realisation that the establishment parties – the ‘LibLabCon’ – are merely three alternate faces of the same regime. Their fear was that mounting disaffection with the establishment parties was creating the potential for a maverick, anti-establishment party to wreck their plans and their fears were born out with rise in the influence of UKIP and the shock result in the recent referendum. So, Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn are performing a reprise of the positions once taken by Margaret Thatcher and Michael Foot, and the agents of our political establishment are now at work, attempting to destabilise and bring about the collapse of UKIP.

The political establishment in this country have spent forty years and countless millions of pounds ignoring the wishes of the British public and it would be naïve for us to assume that as a result of the recent referendum result their hopes of keeping us within that corrupt system have been permanently dashed. Until Britain actually leaves the European Union, the scope will remain for a second referendum to be contrived that will once again frustrate and deny the will of our people.

A strong UKIP is the only thing that will prevent the Conservatives reneging on their promise to take us out of the European Union and therefore, in the months ahead, we will I believe and as others have also suggested, see more seemingly inexplicable occurrences within UKIP contrived to discredit the party.

We will watch future events with interest and while it would be wonderful if Theresa May is as good as her word and does lead us out of the European Union and does take steps to dramatically reduce immigration, politicians must be judged on what they actually do, not on what they say they are going to do, and we would be foolish to prematurely pin our hopes on the current Conservative government.

By Max Musson © 2016

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