Politics

Electoral Folly and Corruption in the Potteries

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On 13th January this year and following significant policy differences with party leader Jeremy Corbyn, the Labour MP for the constituency of Stoke-on-Trent Central, Tristram Hunt, resigned his seat and announced that he is to take up the position of Director of the Victoria & Albert Museum, thus triggering a by-election to be held on 23rd February.

Stoke-on-Trent Central has been a solidly Labour ward throughout the last sixty-years or more and so one might be forgiven for thinking that the outcome of the forthcoming by-election will be a foregone conclusion, but this is not necessarily so.

In the general election of 2015, support for Tristram Hunt and Labour fell slightly, they received just 12,220 votes compared to 12,605 in 2010, and this continues a trend of falling support, as follows:

At the same time, there is a well-established trend of rising support for nationalistic anti-EU parties as can be seen from the following table:

It is unlikely that Labour will poll more in this month’s by-election than they polled in the last general election, for a number of reasons:

Firstly, the turn-out for establishment parties is very often lower in by-elections than in general elections;

Secondly, Jeremy Corbyn is a controversial Labour leader, who is unpopular with a large swathe of the mass media. Corbyn is perceived as being anti-Israel and consequently, the pro-Israel, Jewish owned and controlled sections of the media will want to see Labour receive a drubbing in this by-election as part of their campaign to force Corbyn into stepping down as Labour leader; and

Thirdly, there are a number of fringe parties standing in the by-election, who are more likely to take support away from Labour than from UKIP.

There is an Asian independent candidate, Mohammad Akram, who will steal some of the support that traditionally would be expected to go to Labour; ditto the Asian candidate for the Liberal Democrats; and then there is a Green Party candidate and a Christian Peoples candidate, both of whom are leftist and can be expected to take votes away from Labour.

The turn-out in support of ant-establishment parties is usually higher in by-elections, because the public like to use by-elections as a means of punishing or rebuking the government and other establishment parties who are seen to be failing in keeping their promises. Furthermore the trend of rising support for nationalistic anti-EU parties is likely to be boosted by the band-wagon effect created by Brexit the election of Donald Trump and the part played by ex-UKIP leader Nigel Farage in both of those event. Paul Nuttall, the new leader of UKIP and the UKIP candidate in the Stoke by-election is likely to benefit mightily from the favourable public perception of Nigel Farage.

The forthcoming by-election is therefore potentially one of the best opportunities for a breakthrough by a nationalistic anti-EU party and UKIP are rightly putting a maximum effort behind Paul Nuttall. For the cause of British nationalism, a surprise win by Paul Nuttall at this election would have a massively positive impact It would pave the way for more UKIP victories at the next general election in 2020, but more importantly, it would shift the Overton window further in our direction, further legitimising the policies and beliefs for which we racial nationalists have been vilified in the past.

It is therefore a disappointment that the BNP have chosen to contest Stoke Central with a well-meaning candidate, but a no-hope candidate that will simply split the patriotic vote and lesson Paul Nuttall’s chances of success. Now is not the time for an openly racial nationalist political party to contest elections and all efforts to that end are currently a futile waste of time, and in this particular instance and act of folly that can do nothing but damage the nationalist cause.

I pray that David Furness will have the sense to withdraw his candidacy and throw his weight behind Paul Nuttall. If not, the BNP will be seen to be playing the role of a ‘spoiler’, acting in such a way as to deliberately sabotage the nationalist electoral effort. In fact, all nationalist activists with striking distance of Stoke-on-Trent should work to promote the UKIP candidate in this election.

Reports in the Guardian today suggest that our political opponents fear a UKIP win and are scheming in the hope of frustrating the will of the people. In today’s Guardian it states, “A senior figure in the Labour leader’s office has asked a go-between what it would take to persuade the Lib Dems and Greens to dial down their campaigns, or even withdraw candidates, in the by-election later this month …”

This has been denied by official Labour spokespeople and by the leaders of the Greens and the Lib-Dems, but the Guardian article continues, “But other senior Lib Dems, and Greens, would like to see their parties step aside to minimise the chance that Nuttall, Ukip’s new leader, gains a valuable platform in the House of Commons.

“The Greens threw their weight behind the Lib Dem candidate, Sarah Olney, in the recent Richmond Park by-election, and she went on to win the seat. Two prominent Labour MPs, Lisa Nandy and Clive Lewis, called on Labour not to field a candidate then, but the party hierarchy disagreed.

“Green co-leader Caroline Lucas has made building up a progressive alliance a key aim of her party, and edited a book with Nandy and Lib Dem Chris Bowers, which examined the idea of holding open primaries to decide which left-of-centre candidate would be best equipped to challenge the Tories in each seat.”

The Guardian article also reports that separately, a campaign group called ‘More United’, which was co-founded by Lord Ashdown, convened a meeting earlier this week to discuss making financial backing available to whichever candidate is willing to sign up to a series of progressive principles, including seeking to retain a close relationship with the EU. The Guardian understands that a senior Labour figure attended.”

So there we have it, UKIP’s fighting chance to get their leader elected to the House of Commons threatened by the folly of the right and by the corrupting machinations of the left. We still have much work to do my brothers and sisters, before we racial nationalists are in a position to steer politics in the direction we want, let alone mount a realistic challenge for power in this country. A first step for western Spring is to continue our initiative to create greater co-operation and collaboration between nationalist parties and groups and there will be further leadership conferences this year devoted to that end.

By Max Musson © 2017

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10 thoughts on “Electoral Folly and Corruption in the Potteries”

  2. seagullwatcher

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    I agree regarding the BNP.. Regarding the returns for David Furness as London Mayor candidate, where his campaign revolved around ‘ Putting local people first ‘, the outcome was embarrassing. For the same candidate to turn up for BNP in the Batley and Spen By election in Yorkshire, where his campaign, revolved around ‘ Putting local people first’, just a few months later, made a mockery. For the same David Furness to stand again, another few months later in Stoke, with the campaign ‘ Putting local people first’ has naturally, made fools of the BNP leadership, along with splitting the vote.

  3. Alec Suchi

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    In this particular case the BNP which is largely a spent force will not abstract many votes which would otherwise be given to UKIP,, but the possibility exists that the outcome will be so close that victory could be decided by a handful of votes.Despite this possibility I am confident that UKIP will win its first seat at Westminster in its own right, disregarding the defections from the Conservative Party and Doug Carswell subsequently holding his seat for UKIP in 2015. The “Brexit Effect” may indeed sweep through the north of England at subsequent elections following Labour’s unpopular immigration policies.We live in interesting times, with the Donald firing volleys on the other side pf the Atlantic.

  4. Shaun

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    I’d love it if UKIP wins this elextion. I like Nuttal; he’s honest, patriotic, and non-establishment. Good stuff.

    Let’s be honest: the BNP aren’t standing in this election for honorable reasons. Joe Owens is wrong about a lot of things but he isn’t wrong in his video on the coming by-election. Watch it! The BNP is nothing more nowadays than a battering ram against the Cause. It might be said the BNP are standing to screw up Nuttal’s chances.

  5. Eddy

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    My heart sunk when I saw the BNP was to stand in Stoke, however, I was not surprised. I guess the only way Walker and his gang can keep their paid employment is to continue the farce that the BNP is actually an active party. Unfortunately, the BNP is now a serious obstacle to the Nationalist Movement moving on, and should be treated as such.

  6. Charlie

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    Just to let you know, the Black Country is a good 30 miles south of Stoke. The title should really state:Electoral Folly and Corruption in the Potteries.

      1. gail robinson

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        Im totally unimpressed with UKIPs efforts to secure The Potteries. Ive been volunteering, its abysmal, they are playing at this. No real desire, its so faux.

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